A mathematical approach to understanding emergent constraints

Nijsse, Femke J. M. M.; Dijkstra, Henk A.

One of the approaches to constrain uncertainty in climate models is the identification of emergent constraints. These are physically explainable empirical relationships between a particular simulated characteristic of the current climate and future climate change from an ensemble of climate models, which can be exploited using current observations. In this paper, we develop a theory to understand the appearance of such emergent constraints. Based on this theory, we also propose a classification for emergent constraints, and applications are shown for several idealized climate models.

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Nijsse, Femke J. M. M. / Dijkstra, Henk A.: A mathematical approach to understanding emergent constraints. 2018. Copernicus Publications.

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Rechteinhaber: Femke J. M. M. Nijsse

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